Forecasting the Weather: Safety, Ethics, and Really Big Data…

Hurricanes, floods, and fires, oh my: predicting extreme weather and hazards from days-to-decades is a data-intensive undertaking that is also of tremendous societal interest. We use enormous amounts of data from our best observational estimates of the state of the climate systems and a large suite of state-of-the-art climate models to make these prediction and quantify the uncertainty in these predictions. However, many decision makers and even sponsors challenge us “reduce” the uncertainty beyond that which is scientifically justifiable. This Dialogue will seek participants’ input/critiques on how we ought to confront this challenge based on some examples from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and others. Read more “Forecasting the Weather: Safety, Ethics, and Really Big Data 11/6” →